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AbsolutVT03

Joined: 01/05/2001 Posts: 30435
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I gave you two better ways above. Case Fatality Rate and Infection


Fatality Rate. Both are more appropriate methods than what you did. Case Fatality Rate is always going to be higher than than Infection Fatality Rate because there are always more infections than are actually reported. Infection Fatality Rate is almost always going to be an estimate because there are always going to be infections that go unreported. Recently the CDC said that up to 10 times as many people had been infected as had been confirmed. So with 3 million confirmed infected that would be 30 million estimated infected. So you take the number of deaths (130,000) and divide by either the 3 million or the 30 million and that gives you your CFR or your IFR and both will be much more accurate than simply taking the total population.

Your way doesn't really have any kind of relevance in terms of people who die from the virus versus those who do not. It's completely meaningless and provides zero context. For reference, heart disease (leading cause of death in the US) comes in at 0.00197 using your method. Any cause of death you drop in there is going to be miniscule.

[Post edited by AbsolutVT03 at 07/08/2020 7:15PM]

(In response to this post by HOKIERIT)

Posted: 07/08/2020 at 7:11PM


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